Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 199.325263 223.378001 249.865183 281.314957 317.789944 358.941634 409.136777
2025-04-20 167.680476 200.693781 240.160959 291.316388 356.592560 438.092898 549.132091
2025-04-27 151.730828 189.608822 237.432865 303.247992 393.069526 513.780457 692.530116
2025-05-04 136.331991 176.081163 228.430118 303.957167 412.767426 568.150427 815.105096
2025-05-11 121.788292 161.462121 215.501481 296.512909 418.558441 601.982386 911.842885
2025-05-18 110.529341 149.883138 205.080643 290.672247 424.880312 636.194667 1014.022291
2025-05-25 105.127507 145.845501 204.681951 299.143547 453.573302 709.041157 1194.817711
2025-06-01 98.144597 138.751205 198.898793 298.334877 466.795211 757.678931 1341.813045
2025-06-08 91.002953 130.747857 190.886672 292.868870 471.138382 790.945777 1465.778962
2025-06-15 86.049531 125.632782 186.816578 293.268410 485.393568 843.949297 1641.085235
2025-06-22 80.270223 118.763429 179.325459 286.988073 486.631012 872.066839 1768.925514
2025-06-29 76.072579 114.079696 174.964402 285.616925 496.638578 918.782020 1949.963678
2025-07-06 70.030785 106.119766 164.746390 273.150648 484.508004 919.480102 2024.667564
2025-07-13 68.433874 105.339372 166.573378 282.815391 517.294652 1021.628412 2385.604456
2025-07-20 67.238169 105.109028 169.272317 294.314984 555.363989 1142.858981 2839.362816
2025-07-27 64.439718 101.943912 166.525914 294.998735 570.602793 1213.816562 3173.753879
2025-08-03 60.723711 96.952509 160.126006 287.823200 567.671282 1239.903113 3379.070534
2025-08-10 57.529566 92.684058 154.744901 282.192328 567.491043 1272.989214 3619.735748
2025-08-17 56.434350 92.059897 156.038195 290.359044 600.188904 1398.736337 4231.890262
2025-08-24 54.258449 89.354576 153.212153 289.579535 611.536285 1468.814807 4671.966649
2025-08-31 51.688622 85.786459 148.497526 284.310163 611.222788 1505.848871 4999.758829
2025-09-07 49.964537 83.677904 146.463496 284.695359 625.126281 1587.682661 5554.403698
2025-09-14 47.623729 80.297719 141.721010 278.639991 621.730491 1616.365144 5890.329971